Time-Varying Arrival Rates of Informed and Uninformed Trades

Filed Under (Forex News) by Easley, D., Engle, R. F., O'Hara, M., Wu, L. on 30-06-2008

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We propose a dynamic econometric microstructure model of trading, and we investigate how the dynamics of trades and trade composition interact with the evolution of market liquidity, market depth, and order flow. We estimate a bivariate generalized autoregressive intensity process for the arrival rates of informed and uninformed trades for 16 actively traded stocks over 15 years of transaction data. Our results show that both informed and uninformed trades are highly persistent, but that the uninformed arrival forecasts respond negatively to past forecasts of the informed intensity. Our estimation generates daily conditional arrival rates of informed and uninformed trades, which we use to construct forecasts of the probability of information-based trade (PIN). These forecasts are used in turn to forecast market liquidity as measured by bid-ask spreads and the price impact of orders. We observe that PINs vary across assets and over time, and most importantly that they are correlated across assets. Our analysis shows that one principal component explains much of the daily variation in PINs and that this systemic liquidity factor may be important for asset pricing. We also find that PINs tend to rise before earnings announcement days and decline afterwards.

Bengal land data to be digitized by Dec 2009

Filed Under (Forex News) by The Financial Express on 29-06-2008

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The West Bengal government is likely to complete the computerisation & update of land data and land maps by Dec 2009, according to BP Gopalika, director of land & land reforms department.

ESIC plans 2 post-grad institutes in Kolkata

Filed Under (Forex News) by The Financial Express on 29-06-2008

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Employees' State Insurance Corporation is going to submit the proposal of setting up two postgraduate institutes of medical science and research at its Manicktala and Joka hospital premises to the Union ministry of health by June 30.

NFDC seeks IDBI help to produce films

Filed Under (Forex News) by The Financial Express on 29-06-2008

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NFDC, a government of India enterprise, has sought cooperation from IDBI Bank for producing and promoting movies. It has already submitted some proposals to the bank.

George Telegraph, Hyundai dealer to run auto courses

Filed Under (Forex News) by The Financial Express on 29-06-2008

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The George Telegraph Training Institute, a pioneer in technical education, and Mukesh Himatsingka Group, which runs dealerships for Hyundai and Mahindra & Mahindra, have come together to set up a training institute for automobile engineering.

Levi’s to relaunch 501

Filed Under (Forex News) by The Financial Express on 29-06-2008

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Levi Strauss (India) Pvt Ltd, the popular jeans and casual wear manufacturer, is all set to launch a new modified version of the first invented Levi's jeans as the puja-special product in Kolkata

Saregama to invest Rs 150cr

Filed Under (Forex News) by The Financial Express on 29-06-2008

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Saregama India Ltd, the RPG-controlled entertainment major, will invest Rs 150 crore over the next 12-18 months in its music and movie production businesses, said Sanjiv Goenka, vice-chairman.